Our paper "
Real-time bus route state forecasting using particle filter and mesoscopic modeling" was just published in Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, Volume 61, December 2015, Pages 121-140. You can download it free until January 2016. Special thanks to my friends and collaborators at ENTPE: Etienne Hans, Nicolas Chiabaut and Ludovic Leclrecq for a great experience developing this paper!